![]() ![]() As subsequent Games have taken place, the algorithm has been improved based on lessons learned. Nielsen Gracenote first introduced its Virtual Medal Table (VMT) methodology to forecast the most likely Olympic gold, silver and bronze medal winning countries more than a decade ago. However, Asian participation in World Cup events this season has sharpened the forecasts for these countries. The performances of these countries, particularly China, could be underestimated based on current results data. The global COVID-19 pandemic forced many Asian competitors to forego major events between the Pyeongchang 2018 and Beijing 2022 Winter Games, resulting in less data than usual.Germany is forecasted to suffer a small decline on its 31 Winter Olympics medals won in 2018 with 30 medals projected for 2022.The Russia Olympic Committee is forecasted to win more medals than any team representing Russia or the Soviet Union at a Winter Olympics when not hosting. With Russian athletes allowed to compete under the Russia Olympic Committee (ROC) banner, the team is expected to improve significantly over the performance of the Olympic Athletes from Russia team, its previous name in 2018.The Canadian team’s medal forecast is now level with the United States. Canada has improved by one medal since the Virtual Medal Table was relaunched 100 days ahead of Beijing 2022.Canada has never topped Team USA on the medal table at two consecutive Winter Olympics. Team USA won fewer medals than their northern neighbors at Pyeongchang 2018. ![]()
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